BlockBeats, citing TradingBeats monitoring, reported that after the U.S.September CPI was released, the Loracle address's one-day account-wide PnL increased by approximately 3760000 USD, with multiple U.S. stock short positions becoming profitable on an unrealized basis.
HTX Research analyst Chloe said that after the September US CPI shock, leverage in the crypto market has not been fully cleared, with BTC、ETH declining and spot ETF seeing net outflows of approximately 859000000 USD。
US September CPI rose to 3.7%year on year, while core CPI rose to 2.6%; after the data release, Treasury yields and USD rose, and Bitcoin fell below 82000 USD。
PANews said that Bitcoin has consolidated in the 81000 to 84000 USD range for approximately 7 days, with the market focused on whether the upcoming CPI data will bring a directional breakout.
TradingBeats monitoring says trader greater-fools is accumulating BTC forecasts of falling to 65000 and 70000 USD by year-end, and holds 26.97 units of BTC in a short position on Hyperliquid.
Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud believes Bitcoin is more likely to break below the 81000 to 84000 USD trading range,CPI and if it exceeds expectations, it may test 81000 USD。
Binance Research said that the rise in U.S. Treasury yields was driven mainly by real rates; after Federal Reserve rate hikes,BTC rose 9.3%, and the market will focus on U.S.September CPI and bank earnings guidance.
Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson said that rising U.S. Treasury yields,USD and oil prices have tightened financial conditions; if CPI inflation remains moderate and bond-market volatility declines, the U.S. stock rally could broaden.
The Fed will enter its blackout period before the October rate-setting meeting, with traders awaiting Wosh's remarks and September CPI to assess the subsequent pace of rate hikes. The market expects October to keep rates unchanged at the end of this month, but still bets on December a rate hike of 25 basis points.
Bitfinex Alpha expects that BTC before the US release on Wednesday CPI may fluctuate between 81,300 and 84,500 USD; subsequent developments will depend on inflation data, spot buying, and ETF fund flows.