BlockBeats relayed that Logan believes the Fed's policy stance has deviated from the proper path, and that the Federal Open Market Committee should raise interest rates by at least 50 basis points.
President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Kashkari said he expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates once each this year and 2027 to reduce inflation, which remains at around 3%.
PANews cited CME“Fed Watch” as saying that PCE after the data release, the market expects the Federal Reserve’s probability of October keeping interest rates unchanged to be 52.9%,December cumulative rate hikes of 25 or 50 basis points to have a combined probability of 90%。
New York Fed President Williams stated that the Federal Reserve does not need to rush into acting again, but may raise rates further before year-end if the economy meets expectations; he expects U.S. inflation to be approximately 3.5%。
Fed Governor Barr said that the trend of inflation returning 2%is not evident, risks to achieving the inflation target have increased, and further policy adjustments may be needed.
A Telegram channel posted a link claiming that historical data show U.S. equities delivered higher returns after rate hikes, without providing specific statistical criteria, data sources, or the relevant period.
BNP Paribas strategist Chi Lo said that the Fed's September rate hikes are unlikely to initiate a new round of prolonged tightening and may be intended to contain inflation expectations.
According to CME“Federal Reserve Watch” data, the market expects the Federal Reserve’s October rate-hike 25-basis-point probability to be 64.2%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 35.8%。
BlockBeats said that during Warsh’s tenure, the Federal Reserve’s policy-communication approach has been adjusted, but the balance-sheet reduction plan is progressing slowly. Markets estimate the probability of October another rate hike at approximately 70%。