美国10月非农公布后,市场对美联储12月加息25个基点的押注升至77.7%
BlockBeats报道,美国10月非农新增16.5万人、前值上修至6万人后,CME FedWatch显示12月加息25个基点的概率为77.7%。
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BlockBeats报道,美国10月非农新增16.5万人、前值上修至6万人后,CME FedWatch显示12月加息25个基点的概率为77.7%。
Challenger数据显示,美国企业10月宣布裁员43994人,同比下降71%,为2023年以来同期最低;招聘计划近44.5万人,同比增长57%。
PANews早报称,英特尔四季度指引不及预期,上周五股价下跌28.58%,费城半导体指数及纳指100同步走弱。本周市场将关注中期选举、苹果和AMD财报及10月非农数据。
According to BlockBeats,November 2 to 8 US midterm elections, earnings reports from Apple and AMD, and US October nonfarm employment data will be market focuses. Events including decisions by the Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia will also be released.
Based on September data including nonfarm payrolls, wages, and hiring intentions, Huatai Securities believes that the urgency for the Federal Reserve to October raise interest rates consecutively has declined, with the baseline scenario calling for December another rate hike.
United States September The nonfarm payrolls report will be released at October 2 20: 30 Beijing time, with the market expecting an increase in employment of 90000 jobs and the unemployment rate to remain at 4.1%As of Thursday, the market-implied probability of a Federal Reserve October rate hike has fallen to approximately 28%。
BlockBeats reported that JPMorgan’s trading desk turned bullish on U.S. stocks again ahead of the U.S. nonfarm payrolls report, with a strong preference for the technology and banking sectors, and no longer recommends using short positions in the Russell 2000 index to hedge long positions in technology stocks.
The report said that the United States will release a concentrated batch of JOLTs, core PCE、GDP、ADP、ISM, initial jobless claims, and nonfarm payrolls data next week, while central bank officials from Europe and the United States will also speak extensively; OPEC+ will hold its monthly oil policy meeting.
Research finds that, since 2020 year August, approximately of the increase in 10-year U.S. Treasury yields has been concentrated around the relevant events within 3 days.