高盛称黄金近期下跌主因是投机资金大规模平仓
高盛分析称,近期黄金下跌主要由投机资金平仓驱动,而非实际利率变化。10月20日至27日投机者净卖出约80亿美元黄金头寸,后续仍有进一步平仓风险。
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高盛分析称,近期黄金下跌主要由投机资金平仓驱动,而非实际利率变化。10月20日至27日投机者净卖出约80亿美元黄金头寸,后续仍有进一步平仓风险。
In its quarterly outlook report, the Bank of Japan said that Japan's real interest rates have recently risen, especially long-term and super-long-term interest rates, and stated that it will assess financial conditions based on multiple types of data.
Fidelity Digital Assets stated that, 2026-year correlation between Bitcoin and US 10-year real interest rates rose above 0.6. Over the past 2 months, Bitcoin rose nearly 30%. US federal debt surpassed 40000000000000 USD, and interest expenses became the second-largest item in the federal budget.
Binance Research said that the rise in U.S. Treasury yields was driven mainly by real rates; after Federal Reserve rate hikes,BTC rose 9.3%, and the market will focus on U.S.September CPI and bank earnings guidance.
The article states September The sell-off in US Treasury bonds was driven primarily by rising real interest rates, rather than by increasing inflation expectations.
PANews published an analysis stating that the gold price fell below the 200 day and 50 day moving averages, 4000 USD which were regarded as key support levels. The article identified speculative buying, position reductions, and rising real interest rates as pressure factors.
Standard Chartered expects the 2026 fourth-quarter average gold price to reach per ounce 4650 USD, believing that structural demand such as official-sector purchases is weakening the pressure that rising real interest rates exert on gold prices.