X account @jbsdc posted: “Usual rule is to deduct 6 points from the margin of any publicly released internal poll (since you have to assume they only release those which are much better than the current polling average). Applying that here, the Paxton lead of 4 becomes a deficit of 2.”
The Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump's approval rating falling to 37%, with Republican candidates and lawmakers increasingly concerned about the midterm election outlook.
US House of Representatives 435 seats and Senate 35 seats will be up for election on November 3. Republicans currently control both chambers of Congress, while polls show Democrats leading in the national congressional generic ballot.
