Justin SlaughterInvestment and Research
X account: after adjusting it based on his experience, Paxton would either lead or trail by 2 percentage points
X account @jbsdc posted: “Usual rule is to deduct 6 points from the margin of any publicly released internal poll (since you have to assume they only release those which are much better than the current polling average). Applying that here, the Paxton lead of 4 becomes a deficit of 2.”