bibibi.ccLoading…
@jbsdc claims that, under the rule of deducting 6 percentage points, Paxton's 4-percentage-point lead would become a deficit of 2 percentage points.
Usual rule is to deduct 6 points from the margin of any publicly released internal poll (since you have to assume they only release those which are much better than the current polling average).
Applying that here, the Paxton lead of 4 becomes a deficit of 2.
@jbsdc claims that publicly released internal polls should typically have 6 percentage points deducted from the margin.
The original text states that Paxton leads by 4 percentage points.
After applying this rule, the original text states that Paxton would trail by 2 percentage points.
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
This is an individual adjustment method for publicly released internal poll results: first deduct 4 percentage points from the lead of 6 percentage points, resulting in a deficit of 2 percentage points.
It alerts readers that publicly released internal polls may selectively publish results more favorable to the party releasing them.
In a poll, “lead of 4 percentage points” means that one side's support is 4 percentage points higher than the other's; after adjustment under the rule in the text, the direction reverses to a deficit of 2 percentage points.
Loading event timeline…
This term is not in the glossary yet. Browse related concepts in the glossary.
View glossary →This term is not in the glossary yet. Browse related concepts in the glossary.
View glossary →