A Reuters poll showed that 100 surveyed economists all expect the Federal Reserve to 2026 in December raise interest rates, and 94 respondents expect the federal funds rate to rise to by year-end 4.00%—4.25%。
Federal Reserve September meeting minutes show that most participants consider another rate hike before year-end potentially appropriate, while stressing that subsequent decisions depend on new data. The market’s pricing of a October rate hike of 25 basis points has fallen to less than 20%。
