Politico民调显示多数民主党选民倾向阻止特朗普施政议程
据文中转述，65%的民主党中期选举选民希望众议院优先反对特朗普施政议程，而非寻求妥协。民主党需在生活成本议题与监督行动之间平衡。
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据文中转述，65%的民主党中期选举选民希望众议院优先反对特朗普施政议程，而非寻求妥协。民主党需在生活成本议题与监督行动之间平衡。
据纽约时报报道，特朗普预计今晚不会公开露面，转而在Truth Social发帖批评福克斯新闻的评论员及民调。
BlockBeats报道称，美国众议院议长约翰逊在选举日前夕呼吁支持者投票，并称民调不准、激烈选战可能由微小票差决定。
CNN Reportedly, on the eve of the U.S. midterm elections, Democrats are close to regaining a Senate majority, while multiple key seats remain tightly contested. Democrats need to flip 4 Republican seats and retain their own seats.
Reuters/Ipsos October 27 poll completed 1 showed that Trump’s approval rating rose by 32%percentage points to 47%; among registered voters’ generic congressional ballot preferences, Democrats led Republicans by 36%.
PANews cited a joint poll by The Washington Post,ABC News, and Ipsos, saying that Trump's approval rating was 33%, while his disapproval rating was 66%, and that Democrats are gaining support in the battle for control of Congress.
PF Global poll shows that 26%of Trump’s 2024-year supporters believe Republican candidates would have a better chance of winning the midterm elections by breaking with him. A majority of respondents favor Republicans taking different positions on the economy, immigration, and the Iran war.
X account @jbsdc posted: “Usual rule is to deduct 6 points from the margin of any publicly released internal poll (since you have to assume they only release those which are much better than the current polling average). Applying that here, the Paxton lead of 4 becomes a deficit of 2.”
X account @jbsdc posted: “This is where I’m at. But we’ve never had Dems have a great midterm where they’re the out-party in an era of such high edpol. In Sept 06, Gallup found Dems tied with GOP at 48 for likely voters but up 9 with registered voters. https://t.co/6E9554c4Rz”
X account @jbsdc posted: “Great question. I’d probably be watching for whether there is odd strength among WWC and GOP for Dems in blue states even with mediocre top line numbers. Would suggest modeling/sampling errors are pervasive nationally.”
X account @jbsdc posted: “The brutal thing about politics is, even for presidential campaigns, candidate quality matters less than national environment. If polling holds, many Dems will win despite being worse candidates on paper than the folks who ran in their seat in prior cycles. Nature of the game.”
X account @jbsdc posted: “Marist is a good pollster but they’re underscoring the issue with this cycle: Either the polls are right & it’s a 1994/2006 caliber wipeout or they’re wrong & it’s close. Frankly, 35 days out, that’s the only question about this cycle. It’s either a big wave or a polling error.”
