Reuters survey: 100 economists expect the Federal Reserve to December raise interest rates again
BIBIBI
AT A GLANCE
Citing a Reuters survey, BlockBeats said that 94 economists expect October rates to remain unchanged, while all 100 expect December a rate hike.
Article
Reuters: 100 economists unanimously expect the Federal Reserve to December raise interest rates again
BlockBeats reported that October 21, a latest Reuters survey shows that market views on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate outlook are undergoing a significant shift.October Expectations of rate hikes have cooled somewhat, but December another rate hike has become the consensus view among surveyed economists, reflecting how strong economic growth and persistent inflationary pressure are again shaping monetary-policy expectations.
In the survey conducted October 16 to 20, 94 economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep the federal funds rate at October 27 to 28 at the meeting 3.75%to 4.00%. This view is consistent with expectations reflected in market pricing, and the meeting is only days before the U.S.November midterm elections.
By contrast, expectations for interest rates in December have shifted sharply. In last month's survey, fewer than half of economists expected the Federal Reserve to raise rates in December; in this survey, all 100 respondents expect another rate hike then.
Original link https://m.theblockbeats.info/flash/372898
Key points
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BlockBeats said the survey was conducted October 16 to 20.
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94 economists expect the Federal Reserve to October 27 to 28 keep the federal funds rate at 3.75%to 4.00%。
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All 100 respondents in this survey expect the Federal Reserve to December raise interest rates again.
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In last month's survey, fewer than half of economists expected the Federal Reserve to December raise interest rates.
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The article states that October the decision to keep rates unchanged is consistent with expectations reflected in market pricing.
AI-assisted interpretation
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
This is a survey of economists' expectations, not a decision already made by the Federal Reserve. The results show that respondents' prevailing view for the October meeting is to leave rates unchanged, while expectations of a December rate hike have strengthened significantly compared with last month.
Why it matters to readers
The survey shows that market views on the Federal Reserve's future interest-rate path are changing. The article considers strong economic growth and persistent inflationary pressure to be reshaping monetary-policy expectations.
Beginners should distinguish between “economists' forecasts” and “the Federal Reserve's official decision”; continue monitoring whether the meeting outcome aligns with the survey expectations.
Risks and unknowns
The evidence is BlockBeats' paraphrase of a Reuters survey; it does not provide the original Reuters report or the full survey.
The article does not clearly state the year to which these survey dates and meeting dates belong.
December The rate hike is only the surveyed economists' forecast; the actual decision cannot yet be confirmed from the evidence.
The evidence does not specify the survey methodology, respondent composition, or the specific magnitude of the rate hike.
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Federal funds rate
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