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Citigroup: SEC rulemaking will become the next MARKET_HOTSPOT for the crypto market

BlockBeats news,September 23, Citigroup said in its latest market strategy program that the U.S. Senate's failure to advance the CLARITY Act to formal consideration did not interrupt Bitcoin's rebound. After the bill's procedural vote was blocked, Bitcoin remained strong, indicating that capital has begun reducing its reliance on a single legislative milestone and is instead focusing on whether regulatory rules can continue moving forward.

Citigroup believes that the legislative setback will limit the CFTC's ability to obtain more comprehensive authority to regulate the crypto market in the short term, but the SEC can still advance certain rulemakings based on its existing authority. For the market, this means that the crypto industry's compliance process still has room to continue, with subsequent attention turning to the SEC's actual pace of implementing rules on trading, tokenized assets, and market access.

In addition, the macro environment remains a variable in Bitcoin's rebound. Citigroup's economics team holds as its base-case view that this rate-hike cycle may be close to being «one and done»; however, its quantitative macro team warned that if AI investment continues to support growth while employment and wage pressures persist, interest rates may face further upward revision risk. Citigroup regards Bitcoin's move above its medium-term moving average as a signal of recovering risk appetite and said that its correlation with the Nasdaq's performance merits continued tracking.

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