CME“Fed Watch”:October probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 52.9%
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AT A GLANCE
PCE After the data release, the market expects the Federal Reserve’s probability of October keeping interest rates unchanged to be 52.9%。
Article
PCE After the data release, the Federal Reserve October probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 52.9%
PANews September 30 news, according to CME“Fed Watch”: The Federal Reserve’s probability of October keeping interest rates unchanged is 52.9%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 47.1%. The Federal Reserve’s probability of December keeping interest rates unchanged is 10%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 51.8%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 50 basis points is 38.2%。
PANews said that, according to CME“Fed Watch,” the Federal Reserve’s probability of October keeping interest rates unchanged is 52.9%。
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October cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 47.1%。
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December probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 10%, and cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points have a probability of 51.8%, and cumulative rate hikes of 50 basis points have a probability of 38.2%。
AI-assisted interpretation
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
This set of probabilities reflects market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s October and December interest rate decisions.October The probability of “no change” is slightly higher than that of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points,December while there are multiple options for the size of the rate hike.
Why it matters to readers
Interest rate expectations may change with economic data and statements from the Federal Reserve; this information shows that the market’s combined probability of December rate hikes is 90%。
You can understand these figures as the market’s current probability assessment of different interest rate outcomes, rather than as a decision already made by the Federal Reserve.
Risks and unknowns
Not provided in the original text PCE The specific data values were not provided.
The original text cited PANews as citing CME“Fed Watch” and did not include CME the original page.
The probability may change as subsequent information becomes available.
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Basis Points
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