Federal Reserve October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 77.3%
BIBIBI
AT A GLANCE
PANews, citing CME“FedWatch,” reported that the Federal Reserve’s October probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 77.3%。
Article
Federal Reserve October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 77.3%
PANews October 6 news, according to CME“FedWatch”: by the Federal Reserve’s October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 77.3%, the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 22.7%. By the Federal Reserve’s December the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 13.4%, the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 67.8%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 50 basis points is 18.8%。
PANews reported on October 6 the CME interest-rate probability data from “FedWatch.”
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By the Federal Reserve’s October probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 77.3%。
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By the Federal Reserve’s October probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 22.7%。
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By the Federal Reserve’s December probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 13.4%。
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By the Federal Reserve’s December probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is 67.8%, and the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 50 basis points is 18.8%。
AI-assisted interpretation
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
These figures are CME the probabilities for different interest-rate paths displayed by “FedWatch”:October with the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged being the highest; by December the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is the highest. They describe probability expectations, not decisions already made by the Federal Reserve.
Why it matters to readers
This dataset can be used to observe the market’s expectations for the Federal Reserve’s October and December expected distribution of the interest-rate path, as well as how expectations are allocated between “unchanged” and different magnitudes of rate hikes.
Beginners should distinguish between “probability” and “official decision”: 77.3%indicates the probability estimate provided by the tool and does not mean that October will necessarily keep interest rates unchanged.
Risks and unknowns
The original text does not specify the exact collection time or calculation method for these probabilities.
The original data is PANews’ account of CME“FedWatch” and does not provide an official decision by the Federal Reserve.
The original text does not specify whether the subsequent probabilities will change.
The original text does not provide data on the actual impact of these interest-rate expectations on BTC、ETH or other assets.
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Basis Points
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