CME Interest rate watch shows October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.9%
BIBIBI
AT A GLANCE
PANews, citing CME“FedWatch,” said that the Federal Reserve October has a probability of keeping interest rates unchanged of 83.9%。
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The Federal Reserve October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.9%
PANews October 22 According to CME“FedWatch”: By the Federal Reserve's October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.9%, the cumulative probability of rate hikes of 25 basis points is 16.1%. By the Federal Reserve's December the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 9.9%, the cumulative probability of rate hikes of 25 basis points is 76.0%, and the cumulative probability of rate hikes of 50 basis points is 14.2%。
On October 22 PANews reported CME the probability data from “FedWatch.”
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By the Federal Reserve's October the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.9%。
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By the Federal Reserve's October the cumulative probability of rate hikes of 25 basis points is 16.1%。
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By the Federal Reserve's December the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 9.9%。
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By the Federal Reserve's December the cumulative probability of rate hikes of 25 basis points is 76.0%, and the cumulative probability of rate hikes of 50 basis points is 14.2%。
AI-assisted interpretation
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
These figures are CME the probabilities presented by “FedWatch”: the market is more inclined to expect October interest rates to remain unchanged, while by December the probability of cumulative rate hikes of 25 basis points is the highest. They are probability data and do not mean that the Federal Reserve has already made a decision.
Why it matters to readers
Changes in the probabilities of interest rate paths can be used to observe market expectations for the Federal Reserve's subsequent policy, but the evidence does not indicate how related assets have reacted.
Beginners should distinguish between “market expectation probabilities” and “official interest rate decisions,” and continue to monitor whether the probabilities change and the Federal Reserve's official decisions.
Risks and unknowns
The evidence is PANews' paraphrase of CME“FedWatch,” and does not provide CME a link to the original data for verification.
Whether these probabilities will change subsequently cannot be confirmed from the evidence.
The evidence does not provide the Federal Reserve's official decision, nor does it show the actual price reaction of U.S. equities,BTC or ETH.
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Basis Points
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