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FOMC Preview: Key focus is assessing the wording of the statement for the Federal Reserve’s future dovish or hawkish direction
BlockBeats reported that October 29, with less than 20 minutes to go, the Federal Reserve’s October FOMC interest-rate decision will be officially announced. Before then, the main points worth FOMC watching include the following:
Decision statement:
· The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to press the “pause button” on rate hikes. If it chooses to raise rates, it would be another rare policy action before a U.S. election.
· Whether the vote is unanimous (the previous vote was 12-0). This meeting could produce 2 to 3 dissenting votes in favor of a rate hike, with Logan and Hammack the most likely to support a hike.
· If the policy statement focuses on financial stability, it may be viewed as dovish; if concerns over inflation and energy-price spillovers intensify, it may be viewed as hawkish.
· Whether the statement’s wording is adjusted. If it retains “a timely return to target” or further emphasizes “acting when necessary,” this would suggest that room for tightening remains.
Waller’s press conference:
· Waller’s press conference is expected to maintain a concise and pragmatic style, provide no explicit forward guidance, and focus primarily on objective statements of the current situation.
· How Waller explains the decision to October remain on hold while preserving flexibility for December policy action.
· Waller may be asked to explain what the elevated level of U.S. Treasury yields and their recent decline signal.
· Waller may be asked to interpret the stock-market sell-off triggered by artificial intelligence and how to address potential bubbles.
Original link https://m.theblockbeats.info/flash/374225