Galaxy：Polymarket International platform 69.2%“Retail” accounts in losses, cumulative losses 338900000 USD
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AT A GLANCE
Galaxy Research said that Polymarket approximately 2900000 screened accounts on the international platform, 69.2%ultimately incurred losses.
Article
Galaxy：Polymarket international platform 69.2%“retail” accounts in losses, cumulative losses 338900000 USD
PANews October 2 news, Galaxy Research analyzed, based on Stork’s compilation of Polymarket on-chain settlement data, approximately 2900000“retail” accounts on the international platform selected based on manual trading frequency, and the results showed that 69.2%of the accounts ultimately fell below the breakeven point, with total losses of 338900000 USD. Of these, 30 of accounts did not open another position within days after incurring losses, compared with 15.2%after making profits. 6.1%The report defined accounts that traded at least 5 category markets and had more than 60%of their trading markets concentrated in a single theme as “expert traders,” accounting for 44.1%; sports accounted for 47%of all expert traders, but only 25.1%were profitable, the lowest among all themes, while technology and science had the highest profitability rate, at 41.2%, although the sample was small....
PANews said that Galaxy Research analyzed Polymarket in on-chain settlement data compiled by Stork.
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The analysis covered approximately 2900000“retail” accounts on the international platform selected based on manual trading frequency.
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The results showed that 69.2%of the accounts ultimately fell below the breakeven point, with total losses of 338900000 USD。
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After incurring losses, 30 accounts did not open another position within days, compared with 15.2%after making profits. 6.1%。
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The report defined accounts that traded at least 5 category markets and had more than 60%of their trading markets concentrated in a single theme as “expert traders,” accounting for 44.1%。
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Sports accounted for 47%of all expert traders, of whom 25.1%were profitable, the lowest among all themes.
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Technology and science had the highest profitability rate, reaching 41.2%although the original text said that the sample was small.
AI-assisted interpretation
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
This analysis selected accounts based on specific trading frequencies and compared their profit and loss after settlement. “Falling below the breakeven point” means that the final result was below the level of neither profit nor loss. “Expert traders” is also a classification label established by the report itself and does not indicate experts certified by an external authority.
Why it matters to readers
These data show the loss rate and loss scale of the screened accounts, as well as differences in profitability among accounts focused on different themes, and can be used to observe trading outcomes and the cessation of position opening after losses within this sample.
Beginners should note that many of the screened accounts incurred losses and that profitability rates differed across themes; these statistics cannot guarantee that any individual will profit or incur losses in the future.
Risks and unknowns
The evidence consists only of PANews’ summary and full-text link; it does not include the original Galaxy Research report or the complete methodology.
The available text does not establish all details of the sample-selection criteria or whether the data underwent independent verification.
An account does not necessarily correspond to an independent individual; the available text does not address situations such as one person holding multiple accounts.
The technology and science sample was described as small, but no specific number was provided.
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Related concepts
Breakeven point
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