Article

Analysis: Bitcoin exchange net outflows have fallen to per day 1500 coins, while the current futures market is approaching a balance between longs and shorts

BlockBeats reported that October 23, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. said that since September 22,BTC has continued to show net outflows from exchanges, but the pace of outflows has slowed significantly. Currently, exchange net outflows 30 seven-day moving average is approximately 1500 coins per day BTC, down by half from 1 weeks ago, when it was 3000 coins per day.

Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that the recent decline in the net outflow indicator is mainly because the large outflows of September 22 have gradually moved outside the 30-day statistical window, rather than a large amount of BTC flowing back into exchanges. At present, as long as the indicator remains below zero, the amount of BTC supply available for immediate sale on exchanges continues to decline.

Meanwhile, the BTC futures market's 30-day average positioning-direction indicator has risen from 1 weeks ago's -0.5 to 0.3, indicating that longs and shorts are becoming broadly balanced. The indicator reached August at the 7.6 bottom, and has mostly remained slightly below zero since the September bottom; daily readings over the past 1 weeks fluctuated between -20.5 and 29, showing active market trading but no sustained, clear direction.

If exchanges continue to see net outflows and the futures positioning-direction indicator remains steadily above zero, this would provide support for market demand from both the spot and futures markets. Conversely, if BTC turns into inflows to exchanges while the futures indicator falls below zero again, it could indicate an increase in coins available for sale and strengthening bearish forces.

Original link https://m.theblockbeats.info/flash/373387