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X account @jbsdc Explains the “double secret probation” poll, saying it may have been an internal poll conducted several weeks ago and leaked late in the campaign to steer funding toward an unexpectedly strong challenger.
We call this a “double secret probation” poll. It’s an internal from weeks earlier that is leaked near the end of the race to trigger money flows to the challenger who is doing surprisingly well.
Why not release it earlier? Because doing so might get the incumbent to wake up.
We call this a “double secret probation” poll. It’s an internal from weeks earlier that is leaked near the end of the race to trigger money flows to the challenger who is doing surprisingly well.
Why not release it earlier? Because doing so might get the incumbent to wake up.
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
Political funding flows related to the election and challenger: if an internal poll was indeed leaked late in the campaign, it could alter donation or betting-fund flows; however, there is currently only a single social media post, which does not identify the specific election or participants.
This is an opinion statement by the X account @jbsdc; it provides no independent evidence of the poll’s source, candidates, election, or funding flows, so the alleged leak strategy cannot be confirmed as genuine.
Focus: political funding flows related to the election and challenger. Observation period: short term through the end of the election
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