TwoEyes increases its STRC short position to approximately 1540000 USD

Article

🔍 On-Chain Detective | “Whale Tracking”: Strategy high-win-rate prediction account increases its STRC short position to 1540000 USD BlockBeats news:September 22, according to monitoring by TradingBeats, cross-platform trader TwoEyes (X: two_gifts_) newly shorted 5,514.8 STRC contracts, with a transaction notional value of approximately 545000 USD 10100 contracts to 15600 contracts, an increase of approximately 54.6%。The position’s notional value is approximately 1544700 USD，with an unrealized loss of approximately 7,232 USD。

On Polymarket, TwoEyes still holds approximately 16800 contracts of “Strategy removed from the MSCI index before year-end” Yes, with an average cost corresponding to an implied probability of 79.16%; the market probability at the time of the snapshot was 84.5%; the position is worth approximately 14200 USD，with an unrealized gain of approximately 899 USD。No increase or decrease in this prediction position was observed in the past 24 hours.

TwoEyes has previously made multiple Strategy-related prediction trades. Based on consolidated closed-position records, the related topics covered 16 markets in total, with 13 wins and 3 losses. Profitable markets accounted for approximately 81.3%，and cumulative realized profits were approximately 165500 USD.

Hyperliquid address:0xf3dcaeb909d3d17318c0908a1ec0ca31321e1672 Previous report: Prediction-market trader “TwoEyes” established a short position on-chain, increasing short positions in 1400000 BTC and Strategy-related assets

Original link https://m.theblockbeats.info/flash/368352

Key points

TradingBeats monitoring indicates that TwoEyes newly shorted 5,514.8 STRC contracts, with a transaction notional value of approximately 545000 USD。
The short position increased from 10100 contracts to 15600 contracts, an increase of approximately 54.6%.
The position’s notional value is approximately 1544700 USD; the unrealized loss is approximately 7,232 USD。
TwoEyes holds approximately 16800 contracts of “Strategy removed from the MSCI index before year-end” Yes on Polymarket, with an average cost corresponding to an implied probability of 79.16%.
The market probability at the time of the snapshot was 84.5%; the prediction position is worth approximately 14200 USD; the unrealized gain is approximately 899 USD。
Based on consolidated closed-position records, TwoEyes’s related topics covered 16 markets in total, with 13 wins and 3 losses. Profitable markets accounted for approximately 81.3%，and cumulative realized profits were approximately 165500 USD。

AI-assisted interpretation

The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.

TwoEyes simultaneously held an STRC short position and a prediction position concerning whether Strategy would be removed from the MSCI index. The short position increased in size, but was at an unrealized loss at that time.

Why it matters to readers

This shows that the trader recently increased its STRC short exposure; its prediction-market position and STRC short position are two distinct positions.

A short position is a position that bets on a price decline; an unrealized loss is a loss that had not yet been realized based on the price at that time.

Risks and unknowns

The above data came from TradingBeats monitoring and a snapshot; the evidence does not indicate whether the data is complete or accurate.
The evidence does not indicate whether the STRC short position and the Strategy index prediction position had a direct causal relationship.
The evidence does not provide subsequent changes in these positions.

TwoEyes increases its STRC short position to approximately 1540000 USD

Article

AI-assisted interpretation

Why it matters to readers

Risks and unknowns

Related Developments

Related concepts

Keep following

Security Center