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X account @jbsdc said that, compared with 2022 year, Democratic mail-in ballot application volume declined significantly, but believed that it was still affected by the pandemic and Trump's opposition to mail-in voting at the time, and warranted continued observation.
If you’re looking for signs of hope for the GOP this cycle aside from the money advantage, the best one is that there’s some real drop off in Dem mail requests versus 22.
The issue is that cycle was still covid and Trump was still anti mail back then. But it’s worth watching.
If you’re looking for signs of hope for the GOP this cycle aside from the money advantage, the best one is that there’s some real drop off in Dem mail requests versus 22.
The issue is that cycle was still covid and Trump was still anti mail back then. But it’s worth watching.
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
“X account: Democratic mail-in ballot application volume was lower than in 22 year” lacks sufficient evidentiary basis; the available materials support only a factual excerpt.
Verify the follow-up conditions for this event: await the disclosure by state-level election authorities, political parties, or independent statistical institutions of mail-in ballot application data and year-over-year comparison methodology; monitor whether mail-in voting rules, candidates' positions, and subsequent polls change the interpretation of this trend.
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