X account:Anthropic Target valuations should account for prosperity and doomsday scenarios and be cut in half
BIBIBI
AT A GLANCE
QwQiao joked about Anthropic with “prosperity” and “doomsday” scenarios, saying target valuations should be cut in half.
Article
AllianceDAO Co-founder: Considering the probabilities of “prosperity” and “doomsday,”Anthropic target valuations should be cut in half
PANews October 15 reported that AllianceDAO co-founder QwQiao posted on X, discussing in a tongue-in-cheek manner Anthropic IPO’s valuation. The post reminded investors not to forget to include both the “prosperity” and “doomsday” probabilities when calculating the expected value of Anthropic. His logic was: If AI leads humanity to infinite abundance, money will no longer matter; if AI wipes out all of humanity, money will likewise lose its meaning. He set the combined probability of these two scenarios at 50%. The remaining 50%is the “boring middle state”—humanity continues going to work, indefinitely. Sadly, money remains important only in this scenario. Therefore, QwQiao jokingly said that all target prices for Anthropic must be cut in half.
According to PANews, the AllianceDAO co-founder QwQiao discussed the valuation of Anthropic IPO.
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QwQiao believes that if AI brings infinite abundance or wipes out humanity, money will lose its meaning.
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He set the combined probability of these two scenarios at 50%, and said the remaining 50%is the “boring middle state” in which humanity continues going to work.
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Based on this, he joked that all target prices for Anthropic must be cut in half.
AI-assisted interpretation
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
This is a satirical commentary on the valuation of Anthropic, not a formal valuation announced by Anthropic or pricing information from IPO.
Why it matters to readers
It may prompt discussion of AI long-term development scenarios and valuation logic, but the article provides no new valuation data or market reaction.
“Cutting the target price in half” is the commentator’s joke based on hypothetical scenarios; it does not mean that the stock or company valuation actually fell by half.
Risks and unknowns
The report did not provide a Anthropic formal IPO valuation, financing terms, or IPO plans.
The article did not provide a link to QwQiao’s original X post.
The commentary alone cannot confirm that it will have an actual market impact on Anthropic or AI related assets.
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