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X account @jbsdc believes that the market assigns a low but non-zero probability of truth to the unspecified event, while also pricing in the risk of a rebound if the rumor proves false.
I’d say this is the markets assigning a low but non zero probability this story is true combined with some probability this isn’t true and there’s a backlash.
What the markets are NOT saying is that this is probably true, aka applying common sense on this nonsense is correct.
I’d say this is the markets assigning a low but non zero probability this story is true combined with some probability this isn’t true and there’s a backlash.
What the markets are NOT saying is that this is probably true, aka applying common sense on this nonsense is correct.
The following is analysis, separate from reported facts. Verify important claims independently.
The content is the X account's subjective opinion on an unspecified “claim” and market pricing; it provides no event background, verifiable evidence, or specific asset information.
Verify the follow-up conditions for this event: the original information on the specific event or rumor referenced by the account; whether the relevant event has received a verifiable official response or market data
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